Bastendorf vs Sporting Mertzig analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.1%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
15.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+55%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastendorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
JGI
0 - 5
BAS
17%
19%
64%
|
43 | 25 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
BAS
3 - 1
WIN
86%
10%
4%
|
43 | 21 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2023 |
BAS
6 - 1
RLL
88%
8%
4%
|
42 | 12 | 30 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
DCE
3 - 1
BAS
26%
23%
51%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | -2 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
ATE
2 - 1
BAS
56%
21%
22%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting Mertzig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
ERP
1 - 2
MER
49%
21%
31%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
MER
5 - 0
JGI
66%
17%
17%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
WIN
2 - 3
MER
23%
19%
57%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
MER
0 - 1
DCE
49%
21%
30%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
RLL
0 - 5
MER
8%
12%
80%
|
33 | 10 | 23 | 0 |