Bastendorf vs Racing Union analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
5.5%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1%
1-0
2%
2-1
1.7%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
4.2%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
11.8%
82.7%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22.1%
0-3
12.1%
1-4
5.2%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
18.3%
0-4
8.5%
1-5
2.9%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
11.9%
0-5
4.8%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
6.3%
0-6
2.2%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.8%
0-7
0.9%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastendorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
BAS
0 - 3
AVE
44%
25%
31%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
HOS
3 - 6
BAS
31%
21%
48%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | +2 |
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
BAS
2 - 1
COL
88%
8%
4%
|
40 | 18 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
BAS
3 - 1
MLI
58%
21%
20%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
BAS
3 - 1
PRE
83%
11%
6%
|
40 | 21 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Racing Union
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2022 |
ČUK
4 - 0
RAC
62%
21%
18%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2022 |
RAC
1 - 4
ČUK
30%
25%
45%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2022 |
RAC
2 - 1
ASN
70%
18%
12%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
RAC
0 - 2
MET
41%
25%
34%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2022 |
RAC
2 - 2
UNI
21%
23%
56%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | 0 |