Bastendorf vs Lorentzweiler analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.5%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
67.4%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.6%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-34%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
57
3º
10º
6º
84
1º
6º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
84 | 84 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 64 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
57 | 57 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
57 | 57 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
48 | 48 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
46 | 46 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 22 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 12 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastendorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
YBD
1 - 2
BAS
55%
22%
23%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
BAS
1 - 0
ERP
64%
18%
18%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
FCA
1 - 4
BAS
41%
22%
38%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2022 |
BAS
2 - 1
HOS
44%
22%
35%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2022 |
JUS
1 - 0
BAS
74%
15%
10%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Lorentzweiler
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
LOR
2 - 1
BER
80%
14%
6%
|
53 | 34 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
DCE
1 - 7
LOR
6%
14%
79%
|
53 | 25 | 28 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
FFN
2 - 3
LOR
21%
21%
58%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
LOR
3 - 1
ERP
79%
14%
7%
|
53 | 32 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
FCA
0 - 4
LOR
14%
19%
67%
|
53 | 36 | 17 | 0 |