Bastendorf vs Lorentzweiler analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.2%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.5%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
40.7%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastendorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
LOR
6 - 0
BAS
43%
24%
33%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
BAS
1 - 1
MAR
40%
23%
37%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
BAS
3 - 0
ALI
26%
24%
50%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | +4 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
MAR
1 - 0
BAS
58%
20%
21%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
BAS
0 - 1
MLI
31%
25%
44%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Lorentzweiler
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
LOR
6 - 0
BAS
43%
24%
33%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
MER
1 - 4
LOR
33%
22%
46%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
RES
3 - 2
LOR
8%
14%
78%
|
40 | 18 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
LOR
7 - 4
FCA
39%
24%
37%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | +2 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
ORA
1 - 2
LOR
28%
21%
51%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |