Bastendorf vs Lorentzweiler analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.4%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
34.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastendorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
RES
1 - 1
BAS
11%
17%
73%
|
39 | 18 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
BAS
0 - 1
FCA
53%
22%
26%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2017 |
ORA
0 - 0
BAS
28%
22%
50%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
BAS
2 - 3
KEH
63%
20%
17%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
MER
2 - 4
BAS
36%
23%
41%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Lorentzweiler
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
LOR
1 - 2
BWM
39%
24%
37%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
PRE
3 - 6
LOR
14%
17%
69%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2017 |
LOR
1 - 1
ERP
24%
22%
54%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
ALI
1 - 1
LOR
75%
15%
10%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
LOR
1 - 2
MAR
39%
23%
38%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |