Bastendorf vs Lorentzweiler analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.3%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
18.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastendorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
FFN
2 - 0
BAS
74%
16%
11%
|
28 | 45 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
BAS
1 - 1
KEH
38%
24%
38%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
DCE
4 - 0
BAS
51%
22%
27%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
BAS
2 - 2
ATE
35%
24%
41%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
FCA
3 - 2
BAS
68%
18%
15%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Lorentzweiler
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
MER
7 - 2
LOR
73%
16%
11%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
LOR
1 - 1
FFN
20%
22%
58%
|
22 | 45 | 23 | +2 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
KEH
3 - 0
LOR
72%
17%
11%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
LOR
1 - 5
DCE
42%
24%
34%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | -2 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
ATE
5 - 2
LOR
75%
15%
10%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | -1 |