Bastendorf vs Lorentzweiler analysis


40	ELO	43
1.7%	Tilt	3.4%
6138º	General ELO ranking	27654º
36º	Country ELO ranking	51º
ELO win probability

31.9%

Bastendorf

25.7%

Draw

42.4%

Lorentzweiler

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

31.9%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%

25.7%

Draw

0-0

6.8%

1-1

12.2%

2-2

5.5%

3-3

1.1%

4-4

0.1%

25.7%

42.4%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%