Bastendorf vs Hosingen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.3%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.4%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.8%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.7%
8%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
+46%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
57
3º
10º
6º
32
8º
13º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
84 | 84 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 64 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
57 | 57 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
57 | 57 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
48 | 48 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
46 | 46 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 22 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 12 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastendorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
COL
1 - 1
BAS
7%
14%
79%
|
43 | 16 | 27 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2023 |
PRE
0 - 3
BAS
13%
17%
70%
|
42 | 21 | 21 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
LOR
2 - 0
BAS
69%
19%
12%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
BWM
2 - 1
BAS
50%
23%
27%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
BAS
3 - 0
ERP
66%
18%
16%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Hosingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
HOS
2 - 4
BER
43%
22%
36%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
HOS
1 - 3
AVE
18%
23%
59%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | -2 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
HOS
3 - 2
COL
86%
9%
4%
|
30 | 14 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
PRE
3 - 1
HOS
24%
21%
55%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | -2 |
| 30 Nov. 2022 |
YBD
2 - 0
HOS
79%
14%
7%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | -1 |