Bastendorf vs Stengefort analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21%
30%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastendorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2020 |
BER
1 - 1
BAS
62%
19%
18%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2020 |
BAS
0 - 1
FCA
29%
24%
48%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
BAS
0 - 2
RUM
14%
18%
69%
|
37 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
BAS
5 - 1
KSI
82%
11%
7%
|
37 | 13 | 24 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
BAS
3 - 6
JUS
58%
19%
23%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | -2 |