Bassin d'Arcachon Sud vs Tarbes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.6%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
39.8%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bassin d'Arcachon Sud
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
BER
2 - 1
BAS
61%
22%
18%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
COG
1 - 0
BAS
63%
20%
17%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
BAS
2 - 2
SAM
58%
22%
20%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
CUG
2 - 1
BAS
41%
26%
33%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
BAS
0 - 0
BEZ
27%
25%
48%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Tarbes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
TAR
0 - 0
SAI
61%
21%
18%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
TOU
5 - 2
TAR
59%
23%
18%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
TAR
2 - 2
AVI
61%
21%
18%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
AST
2 - 3
TAR
39%
24%
37%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
TAR
2 - 1
TRE
35%
26%
39%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | +1 |