Bassin d'Arcachon Sud vs SA Mérignac analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.2%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
19.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+231%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bassin d'Arcachon Sud
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
CUG
2 - 1
BAS
41%
26%
33%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
BAS
0 - 0
BEZ
27%
25%
48%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
BAS
2 - 2
BLA
36%
25%
39%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
MON
2 - 2
BAS
59%
22%
19%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
SAI
3 - 1
BAS
42%
27%
32%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
SA Mérignac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
SAM
1 - 1
SAI
39%
25%
37%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
TOU
0 - 1
SAM
72%
18%
10%
|
25 | 47 | 22 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
SAM
2 - 1
AVI
36%
26%
39%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
AST
1 - 2
SAM
67%
19%
14%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
SAM
0 - 3
TRE
23%
25%
52%
|
24 | 42 | 18 | -1 |