Bassecourt vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
4.2%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.4%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.7%
1-0
1.7%
2-1
1.3%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
3.4%
10.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
5%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
10.5%
85.3%
Win probability
2.89
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
13.8%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.1%
0-3
13.3%
1-4
5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
19.1%
0-4
9.6%
1-5
2.9%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
12.9%
0-5
5.5%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.2%
-5
7.1%
0-6
2.7%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
3.3%
0-7
1.1%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.3%
0-8
0.4%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.5%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bassecourt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
BAS
1 - 1
SCH
26%
22%
52%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
THU
4 - 1
BAS
46%
23%
31%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
BLA
2 - 2
BAS
77%
14%
10%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
BUO
3 - 2
BAS
63%
19%
18%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
BAS
5 - 2
FCM
48%
23%
29%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2017 |
LAU
2 - 3
LUG
30%
26%
44%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
LUG
0 - 0
ZUR
42%
25%
33%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
FCL
1 - 0
LUG
47%
25%
28%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
CHI
2 - 0
LUG
46%
25%
29%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Jul. 2017 |
LUG
0 - 4
ACM
24%
25%
51%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |