Basra vs Naft Al Junoob analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
45.5%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2005 |
ALS
5 - 0
BFC
59%
23%
18%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2005 |
MIS
2 - 0
BFC
63%
21%
16%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2005 |
ALM
4 - 0
BFC
61%
23%
16%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2005 |
BFC
2 - 4
NAS
38%
25%
38%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2005 |
ALS
4 - 0
BFC
68%
18%
14%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Naft Al Junoob
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2005 |
ALM
4 - 1
NAF
50%
27%
23%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2005 |
NAS
0 - 1
NAF
36%
26%
38%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2005 |
NAF
1 - 1
ALS
53%
25%
22%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2005 |
NAF
1 - 0
ALM
40%
27%
34%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2005 |
KFC
2 - 0
NAF
41%
25%
34%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -1 |