Baskonia vs Ariznabarra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.1%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.4%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
66.6%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.2%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baskonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
ADC
1 - 0
BAS
65%
19%
16%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2009 |
BAS
0 - 2
ZAR
20%
23%
57%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2009 |
ELP
6 - 0
BAS
75%
16%
9%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
BAS
0 - 1
ALE
16%
22%
62%
|
7 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
VUL
3 - 0
BAS
81%
13%
7%
|
7 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Ariznabarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
ARI
3 - 0
IRU
54%
23%
24%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
AUR
1 - 0
ARI
70%
19%
11%
|
19 | 35 | 16 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
ARI
3 - 0
ADC
71%
18%
12%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2009 |
ZAR
2 - 0
ARI
26%
24%
50%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
ARI
0 - 3
ELP
73%
17%
10%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | -2 |