BASK vs Zemun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.7%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
16.6%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-43%
+60%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BASK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
SMJ
2 - 2
BAS
32%
28%
41%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
BAS
1 - 1
FKS
75%
16%
9%
|
55 | 38 | 17 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
PAD
1 - 1
BAS
15%
25%
60%
|
55 | 37 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
BAS
2 - 0
ZAR
73%
17%
10%
|
55 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
BAS
1 - 0
SIN
72%
18%
11%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Zemun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
ZEM
3 - 0
SIN
60%
23%
17%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
HAJ
0 - 1
ZEM
32%
27%
42%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
ZEM
2 - 0
SRE
62%
22%
16%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
RAD
0 - 1
ZEM
44%
26%
30%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
ZEM
3 - 0
KOV
73%
17%
10%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | 0 |