BASK vs FK Ušće analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.2%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.4%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.2%
6.6%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-52%
+130%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
3º
11º
8º
35
10º
16º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 67 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
|
13º
|
35 | 35 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
33 | 33 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
32 | 32 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 12 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BASK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2022 |
TEL
2 - 0
BAS
38%
27%
36%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
BAS
0 - 2
ZVE
60%
22%
19%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
FBL
1 - 4
BAS
22%
22%
56%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
BAS
0 - 0
SIN
36%
26%
38%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
BAS
2 - 2
BUD
24%
26%
50%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
FK Ušće
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2022 |
STV
0 - 3
BEO
15%
20%
65%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
BSK
2 - 1
STV
68%
19%
14%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
STV
1 - 1
SGR
27%
22%
52%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
JED
1 - 0
STV
64%
20%
16%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
STV
0 - 1
ZEM
14%
21%
65%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | -1 |