BASK vs Polet Dorćol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.2%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.6%
10.2%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BASK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
BAS
3 - 2
BSK
58%
21%
21%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
TEL
1 - 0
BAS
71%
19%
10%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
BAS
2 - 2
ZAR
34%
28%
39%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
SOP
0 - 1
BAS
37%
26%
37%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
BAS
4 - 2
GRA
16%
22%
63%
|
34 | 49 | 15 | +4 |
Matches
Polet Dorćol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
POL
1 - 3
TEL
12%
22%
66%
|
26 | 50 | 24 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
ZAR
4 - 0
POL
78%
14%
8%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
POL
0 - 1
SOP
40%
24%
36%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
GRA
1 - 0
POL
80%
14%
6%
|
28 | 47 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
POL
1 - 4
NOV
20%
22%
59%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | -2 |