BASK vs Jedinstvo Surcin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.3%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
16.2%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-52%
-37%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
3º
11º
8º
42
3º
13º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 67 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
35 | 35 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
33 | 33 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
32 | 32 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 12 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BASK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
ZEM
0 - 0
BAS
49%
27%
25%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2022 |
BAS
2 - 0
RAD
79%
13%
7%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
FKT
1 - 2
BAS
61%
22%
17%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
BAS
3 - 1
BRO
60%
22%
18%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
PRV
1 - 1
BAS
36%
27%
37%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Jedinstvo Surcin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
JED
0 - 0
BEO
25%
25%
50%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
BSK
0 - 1
JED
45%
24%
31%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
JED
0 - 2
SGR
60%
20%
20%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
BUD
2 - 0
JED
72%
19%
10%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
JED
3 - 0
RAD
66%
19%
15%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | +1 |