BASK vs Grafičar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.4%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.4%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.3%
69.3%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
13.6%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13.1%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.3%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-54%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BASK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
NOV
4 - 0
BAS
83%
13%
5%
|
28 | 48 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
BAS
1 - 0
JED
24%
20%
56%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | +2 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
BAS
1 - 2
BEO
17%
20%
63%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
RNB
1 - 0
BAS
61%
21%
18%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
STV
3 - 1
BAS
46%
22%
32%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Grafičar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
GRA
3 - 0
STV
90%
8%
3%
|
49 | 23 | 26 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
PRV
1 - 2
GRA
8%
18%
74%
|
48 | 23 | 25 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
LOB
0 - 1
GRA
28%
24%
48%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
GRA
6 - 1
POL
78%
15%
8%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
ZVE
1 - 0
GRA
53%
23%
24%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |