BASK vs Grafičar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.5%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.9%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
62.6%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
12%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-45%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BASK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
NOV
0 - 0
BAS
74%
17%
9%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
BAS
0 - 0
RAD
42%
25%
33%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
POL
1 - 1
BAS
40%
24%
35%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
BAS
3 - 1
RAD
38%
26%
37%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +2 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
TEL
2 - 1
BAS
77%
15%
7%
|
35 | 52 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Grafičar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
GRA
0 - 0
TEL
51%
24%
25%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
ZAR
3 - 2
GRA
24%
25%
51%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | -2 |
| 12 Jun. 2011 |
ZAR
3 - 0
GRA
43%
26%
32%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | +15 |
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
GRA
0 - 0
RAD
44%
25%
31%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
FKR
0 - 1
GRA
24%
24%
52%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | 0 |