BASK vs Dorćol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.6%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
9.5%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-58%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BASK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
TUR
1 - 1
BAS
26%
26%
48%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
BAS
2 - 0
SOP
68%
20%
12%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
ZEL
0 - 3
BAS
78%
15%
7%
|
46 | 65 | 19 | +2 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
BAS
1 - 0
PAD
74%
17%
9%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
BAL
0 - 0
BAS
20%
26%
54%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Dorćol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
SOP
1 - 0
DOR
61%
22%
17%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
DOR
0 - 0
PAD
50%
26%
25%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
SIN
3 - 1
DOR
69%
19%
12%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
DOR
1 - 1
SMJ
18%
24%
58%
|
31 | 46 | 15 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
ZAR
3 - 0
DOR
52%
25%
23%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -2 |