BASK vs Crvena Zvezda MML analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.7%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
23.9%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BASK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2017 |
RAK
1 - 2
BAS
15%
24%
61%
|
38 | 18 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
BAS
0 - 0
BRO
42%
23%
36%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
POL
0 - 1
BAS
30%
25%
46%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
BSK
0 - 0
BAS
61%
22%
17%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2017 |
BAS
0 - 2
TEL
22%
26%
51%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | -2 |
Matches
Crvena Zvezda MML
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2017 |
CZM
1 - 0
TEL
16%
25%
60%
|
34 | 52 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
ZAR
2 - 0
CZM
68%
19%
13%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
CZM
1 - 0
SOP
37%
23%
40%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
GRA
2 - 1
CZM
74%
15%
11%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2017 |
CZM
0 - 1
NOV
28%
26%
46%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | -1 |