Basingstoke Town vs Sutton Common Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.9%
Win probability
3.38
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.1%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.6%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.6%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.9%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
5%
2-1
7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.2%
9.6%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
9.6%
5.4%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
89
1º
18º
1º
37
6º
19º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
89 | 89 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
87 | 87 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
67 | 67 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
66 | 66 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
63 | 63 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
57 | 57 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
57 | 57 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
56 | 56 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
55 | 55 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
52 | 52 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
51 | 51 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
49 | 49 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
48 | 48 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
44 | 44 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
40 | 40 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
38 | 38 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
|
17º
|
37 | 37 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
36 | 36 |
18º
|
100% | |
|
19º
|
35 | 35 |
19º
|
100% | |
|
20º
|
24 | 24 |
20º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basingstoke Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
MAR
5 - 2
BAS
35%
24%
42%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
UXB
1 - 2
BAS
52%
22%
26%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
BAS
0 - 1
NOR
61%
19%
20%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
BAS
3 - 0
CHI
56%
20%
24%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
LEA
0 - 0
BAS
32%
24%
44%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Sutton Common Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
SCR
3 - 0
TOO
40%
23%
37%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
THA
1 - 2
SCR
75%
15%
10%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
SOU
1 - 0
SCR
85%
10%
5%
|
16 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2022 |
BIN
3 - 2
SCR
86%
10%
4%
|
16 | 35 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
SCR
1 - 1
SOU
23%
21%
57%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |