Basildon United vs Enfield FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.4%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.1%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.2%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
59.8%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
9%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
-26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
52
3º
13º
9º
22
1º
19º
19º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 82 |
1º
|
92.5% | |
|
2º
|
74 | 78 |
2º
|
46.5% | |
|
3º
|
74 | 78 |
3º
|
29.5% | |
|
4º
|
73 | 77 |
4º
|
28.5% | |
|
5º
|
72 | 76 |
5º
|
54.5% | |
|
6º
|
62 | 65 |
6º
|
53.5% | |
|
7º
|
60 | 63 |
7º
|
42.5% | |
|
8º
|
57 | 60 |
8º
|
49.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
52 | 55 |
9º
|
28.5% | |
|
10º
|
50 | 53 |
10º
|
33.5% | |
|
20º
|
0 | 53 |
11º
|
3% | |
|
11º
|
49 | 52 |
12º
|
28.5% | |
|
12º
|
48 | 51 |
13º
|
34% | |
|
13º
|
47 | 50 |
14º
|
37% | |
|
14º
|
45 | 48 |
15º
|
52.5% | |
|
15º
|
35 | 38 |
16º
|
69% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 36 |
17º
|
66.5% | |
|
17º
|
29 | 30 |
18º
|
89% | |
|
|
18º
|
22 | 22 |
19º
|
97.5% | |
|
19º
|
6 | 6 |
20º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 2.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 97.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basildon United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
BRI
1 - 2
BAS
63%
20%
18%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
BAS
1 - 0
WRO
22%
22%
57%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | +2 |
| 10 Oct. 2023 |
MAL
3 - 2
BAS
61%
20%
20%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
WHI
1 - 5
BAS
52%
23%
25%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
BAS
2 - 4
FEL
11%
17%
72%
|
25 | 42 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Enfield FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
ENF
0 - 5
LOW
43%
23%
34%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2023 |
WHI
1 - 1
ENF
16%
18%
67%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
MAL
3 - 2
ENF
18%
18%
64%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
ENF
3 - 2
WRO
65%
18%
17%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
RED
3 - 0
ENF
41%
24%
35%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | -1 |