Basildon United vs AFC Sudbury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.1%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.9%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
45.6%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basildon United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2020 |
GRE
0 - 6
BAS
78%
14%
9%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2020 |
ROM
1 - 0
BAS
63%
18%
19%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
NOR
1 - 1
BAS
28%
22%
50%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
BAS
0 - 1
BUR
30%
22%
48%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
STA
2 - 0
BAS
33%
23%
44%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
AFC Sudbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
YEL
0 - 3
HUL
80%
12%
8%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2020 |
FEL
3 - 2
YEL
37%
23%
40%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
YEL
1 - 2
BAR
47%
23%
31%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2020 |
STA
4 - 0
YEL
62%
20%
18%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
YEL
2 - 1
CTF
37%
22%
41%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | +1 |