Bashtil vs Al Amerya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.1%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
21%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
19.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bashtil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
ITE
4 - 1
BAS
60%
21%
19%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2013 |
BAS
1 - 1
NAS
20%
24%
57%
|
34 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2013 |
ALT
4 - 0
BAS
78%
16%
7%
|
34 | 64 | 30 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2013 |
BAS
1 - 1
BAN
45%
24%
31%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2013 |
GAZ
1 - 1
BAS
58%
21%
21%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Al Amerya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
ALA
1 - 2
ALS
27%
24%
49%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2013 |
ELS
0 - 0
ALA
73%
17%
10%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2013 |
ALA
3 - 2
GOM
19%
22%
59%
|
27 | 45 | 18 | +3 |
| 07 Mar. 2013 |
BAH
2 - 0
ALA
62%
20%
17%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2013 |
ITE
0 - 1
ALA
75%
15%
9%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | +2 |