Bashley vs Winchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.2%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.4%
9.3%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bashley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2006 |
MIL
0 - 3
BAS
24%
23%
53%
|
45 | 29 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2006 |
BAS
2 - 2
MAR
58%
23%
19%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2006 |
HAN
1 - 4
BAS
16%
21%
63%
|
45 | 20 | 25 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2006 |
BAS
2 - 0
SWI
57%
22%
21%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2006 |
BEA
1 - 3
BAS
27%
24%
49%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Winchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2006 |
WIN
3 - 2
NEW
70%
18%
12%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2006 |
OXF
2 - 0
WIN
56%
23%
21%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2006 |
MAR
3 - 1
WIN
62%
21%
18%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2006 |
MIL
1 - 6
WIN
56%
22%
22%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +2 |
| 09 Dec. 2006 |
WIN
6 - 0
BEA
43%
25%
32%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | +2 |