Bashley vs Swindon Supermarine analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.4%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
24%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bashley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
CHI
1 - 0
BAS
51%
24%
25%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2011 |
BAS
2 - 5
BED
68%
19%
13%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2011 |
BAS
5 - 1
WEY
67%
19%
14%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2010 |
BRA
3 - 4
BAS
38%
26%
37%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
BAS
1 - 2
CIR
56%
23%
21%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Swindon Supermarine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
OXF
2 - 1
SWI
31%
26%
44%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2011 |
SWI
3 - 0
HAL
51%
24%
25%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2011 |
SWI
3 - 0
BAN
48%
24%
28%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +2 |
| 03 Jan. 2011 |
SWI
1 - 0
CIR
47%
25%
29%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2010 |
CAM
2 - 0
SWI
61%
22%
17%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | 0 |