Bashley vs Stourbridge analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.3%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
48.4%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bashley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
BAN
3 - 1
BAS
44%
25%
32%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
BAS
2 - 0
STA
42%
24%
34%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +2 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
BED
0 - 1
BAS
60%
21%
19%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2012 |
ARL
1 - 2
BAS
57%
22%
21%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2012 |
BAS
0 - 3
AFT
29%
24%
48%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | -2 |
Matches
Stourbridge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
STO
2 - 1
CHI
60%
22%
18%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
CAM
2 - 2
STO
41%
24%
35%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
STO
1 - 1
GOS
53%
23%
24%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
HEM
2 - 1
STO
41%
24%
35%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
STO
1 - 1
FRO
69%
19%
12%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |