Bashley vs Stourbridge analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
47.2%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bashley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
ARL
0 - 2
BAS
60%
21%
19%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2011 |
BAS
0 - 0
CHI
37%
27%
36%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
BAS
0 - 1
CAM
31%
27%
42%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
HIT
2 - 3
BAS
70%
18%
13%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2011 |
SWI
1 - 2
BAS
53%
23%
25%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Stourbridge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2011 |
STO
5 - 0
BAN
63%
20%
17%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
STO
2 - 1
STA
68%
18%
14%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2011 |
EVE
0 - 1
STO
27%
26%
48%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
HEM
2 - 0
STO
17%
22%
61%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | -2 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
STO
2 - 1
CHE
55%
23%
23%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |