Bashley vs Stourbridge analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
35.7%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bashley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
BED
1 - 0
BAS
19%
22%
59%
|
44 | 29 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2010 |
BAN
1 - 4
BAS
36%
25%
39%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | +2 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
BAS
1 - 4
CHI
38%
27%
35%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | -2 |
| 30 Aug. 2010 |
WEY
1 - 4
BAS
28%
24%
48%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2010 |
WHI
2 - 1
BAS
48%
24%
28%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Stourbridge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
STO
1 - 1
CHE
45%
24%
31%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2010 |
STO
3 - 1
EVE
74%
17%
10%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
CAM
3 - 0
STO
52%
23%
26%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -2 |
| 31 Aug. 2010 |
STO
0 - 2
HAL
46%
24%
30%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
BRA
0 - 0
STO
32%
24%
44%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |