Bashley vs Rugby Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.5%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
18%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bashley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2009 |
BAS
4 - 0
HIT
60%
22%
19%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
BED
0 - 2
BAS
39%
26%
35%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2009 |
BRA
2 - 4
BAS
54%
23%
23%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | +2 |
| 13 Apr. 2009 |
BAS
1 - 0
FAR
24%
24%
52%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
BAN
1 - 0
BAS
38%
25%
36%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Rugby Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2009 |
SWI
3 - 1
RUG
44%
25%
31%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
RUG
2 - 1
MAN
70%
18%
12%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2009 |
RUG
0 - 2
COR
26%
24%
50%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
CHI
1 - 1
RUG
52%
24%
24%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
RUG
3 - 0
MER
38%
26%
37%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | +2 |