FA Trophy 1/256
Global 1-5
Bashley vs Poole Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.3%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
46%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bashley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
POO
1 - 1
BAS
65%
20%
15%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2012 |
CHI
1 - 0
BAS
49%
24%
27%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
BAS
0 - 5
BAR
35%
25%
40%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | -2 |
| 04 Sep. 2012 |
CHE
3 - 0
BAS
60%
21%
19%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
BAS
1 - 0
BED
47%
24%
29%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Poole Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
POO
1 - 1
BAS
65%
20%
15%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
POO
2 - 1
BRI
74%
16%
10%
|
46 | 29 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2012 |
POO
3 - 1
BEA
63%
21%
16%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
BEA
0 - 0
POO
27%
24%
49%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2012 |
POO
1 - 0
PAU
65%
20%
15%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | +1 |