Bashley vs Moneyfields analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.6%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
27.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bashley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
COR
3 - 1
BAS
63%
19%
17%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2013 |
CHE
4 - 1
BAS
72%
18%
10%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
BAS
0 - 1
BID
40%
24%
35%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2013 |
AFT
3 - 1
BAS
40%
24%
36%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | -2 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
BAS
1 - 3
STN
51%
22%
26%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Moneyfields
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2013 |
LON
1 - 2
MON
17%
20%
63%
|
29 | 11 | 18 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
MON
2 - 2
LON
78%
14%
8%
|
29 | 11 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
MON
2 - 1
CAD
66%
19%
15%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | 0 |