Bashley vs Merthyr Tydfil FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.3%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
16.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bashley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2007 |
BAS
2 - 1
BAN
71%
18%
11%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
CLE
0 - 0
BAS
32%
26%
43%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2007 |
CHI
2 - 2
BAS
41%
26%
33%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
BAS
0 - 0
GLO
62%
21%
17%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2007 |
MAN
2 - 0
BAS
25%
26%
49%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Merthyr Tydfil FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2007 |
YAT
3 - 1
MER
42%
26%
32%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
MER
2 - 2
HAL
42%
28%
30%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2007 |
MER
2 - 0
BRO
36%
28%
36%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | +2 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
CHE
0 - 0
MER
43%
26%
31%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2007 |
TBA
3 - 1
MER
59%
23%
19%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -1 |