Bashley vs Merthyr Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.1%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.1%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.5%
18%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18%
71.9%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
13.8%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.8%
0-3
10%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
14.1%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bashley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2014 |
FLE
1 - 0
BAS
68%
19%
14%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
BRI
4 - 0
BAS
70%
18%
12%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
RED
4 - 0
BAS
81%
13%
7%
|
19 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
STO
4 - 1
BAS
89%
8%
3%
|
20 | 48 | 28 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
BUR
1 - 1
BAS
83%
12%
5%
|
19 | 42 | 23 | +1 |
Matches
Merthyr Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
MER
1 - 1
WIM
72%
16%
12%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
THA
0 - 2
MER
13%
19%
68%
|
40 | 22 | 18 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
MER
1 - 0
EVE
78%
14%
9%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
SWI
1 - 0
MER
43%
24%
33%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
MER
3 - 3
YAT
69%
17%
14%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |