Bashley vs Kingstonian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.8%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
40.4%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bashley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2006 |
BAS
2 - 1
MOL
64%
20%
16%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2006 |
BUR
0 - 1
BAS
44%
24%
32%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2006 |
BAS
0 - 1
RAM
38%
26%
36%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2006 |
TON
1 - 1
BAS
51%
23%
26%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
CRO
0 - 1
BAS
54%
23%
24%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Kingstonian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2006 |
KIN
2 - 0
HAS
56%
23%
21%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2006 |
KIN
2 - 0
MET
44%
25%
31%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2006 |
HOR
2 - 2
KIN
53%
22%
24%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2006 |
DOV
1 - 1
KIN
38%
27%
35%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2006 |
KIN
2 - 0
CRO
46%
25%
29%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | +2 |