Bashley vs Hungerford Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
50.1%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bashley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
HIN
2 - 0
BAS
37%
24%
39%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2013 |
BAS
1 - 4
HEM
18%
22%
60%
|
31 | 47 | 16 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
BAS
2 - 0
MON
50%
23%
28%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
COR
3 - 1
BAS
63%
19%
17%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | -2 |
| 03 Sep. 2013 |
CHE
4 - 1
BAS
72%
18%
10%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Hungerford Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
FRO
0 - 2
HUN
16%
24%
60%
|
45 | 29 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2013 |
HUN
1 - 0
STO
27%
24%
49%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | +2 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
HUN
4 - 0
COV
11%
19%
70%
|
40 | 63 | 23 | +3 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
BIG
0 - 1
HUN
54%
23%
23%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2013 |
RED
0 - 5
HUN
23%
25%
53%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | +1 |