Bashley vs Horndean analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.7%
19%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8%
2-2
6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
61.5%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.1%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.7%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bashley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
BRA
1 - 0
BAS
81%
12%
7%
|
16 | 35 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2021 |
BOU
0 - 2
BAS
57%
19%
24%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | +2 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
FAR
1 - 3
BAS
81%
11%
8%
|
12 | 23 | 11 | +2 |
| 10 Aug. 2021 |
BAS
2 - 1
CAL
66%
17%
18%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
CAL
1 - 1
BAS
17%
16%
67%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Horndean
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
HOR
7 - 0
HAM
78%
13%
9%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
AFC
4 - 2
HOR
57%
20%
23%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2021 |
HOR
0 - 0
ALR
84%
10%
6%
|
25 | 15 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
HOR
1 - 3
BOG
21%
20%
59%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2020 |
BEM
2 - 1
HOR
23%
20%
57%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | -1 |