Bashley vs Hitchin Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
47.7%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bashley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2012 |
FRO
1 - 1
BAS
55%
23%
22%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
CAM
4 - 0
BAS
67%
19%
15%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
BAR
2 - 3
BAS
70%
17%
13%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Jan. 2012 |
BAS
3 - 3
SWI
45%
24%
31%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2011 |
BAS
2 - 3
CIR
46%
24%
31%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Hitchin Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
HIT
0 - 0
LEA
43%
25%
33%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
RED
1 - 4
HIT
37%
25%
38%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Jan. 2012 |
HIT
1 - 3
BED
68%
18%
14%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2011 |
ARL
0 - 0
HIT
37%
25%
38%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2011 |
HIT
2 - 0
STO
33%
24%
43%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | +2 |