Bashley vs Hemel Hempstead Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.2%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
59.6%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bashley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
BAS
2 - 0
MON
50%
23%
28%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
COR
3 - 1
BAS
63%
19%
17%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | -2 |
| 03 Sep. 2013 |
CHE
4 - 1
BAS
72%
18%
10%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
BAS
0 - 1
BID
40%
24%
35%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2013 |
AFT
3 - 1
BAS
40%
24%
36%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
Hemel Hempstead Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
STM
0 - 7
HEM
13%
18%
69%
|
47 | 11 | 36 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
HEM
2 - 0
STN
76%
15%
9%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2013 |
HEM
6 - 1
BED
58%
21%
21%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | +2 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
BUR
0 - 3
HEM
51%
23%
26%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2013 |
BAN
0 - 3
HEM
35%
25%
40%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | +2 |