Bashley vs Fleet Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
5.5%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.9%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
1.5%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
4.4%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.1%
80.4%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
16.5%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23.4%
0-3
13.1%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
17.2%
0-4
7.9%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
-4
9.8%
0-5
3.8%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.5%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bashley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
BIS
4 - 0
BAS
70%
17%
13%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
SHO
4 - 2
BAS
90%
8%
3%
|
9 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
BAS
0 - 5
DID
4%
12%
84%
|
10 | 36 | 26 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
BAS
1 - 2
TIV
9%
20%
72%
|
10 | 28 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
CIN
7 - 0
BAS
87%
10%
3%
|
10 | 34 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Fleet Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
STR
2 - 1
FLE
83%
11%
6%
|
20 | 39 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
FLE
2 - 1
AFT
31%
24%
45%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
FLE
4 - 2
WIM
14%
21%
66%
|
16 | 29 | 13 | +3 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
SWI
3 - 0
FLE
85%
10%
5%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
LAR
3 - 0
FLE
81%
13%
7%
|
17 | 36 | 19 | 0 |