Bashley vs Farnborough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
40.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bashley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2009 |
HEM
0 - 1
BAS
24%
25%
52%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
BAS
2 - 3
CRA
41%
25%
34%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
BAS
1 - 2
HAL
53%
24%
23%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
LEA
0 - 1
BAS
44%
24%
32%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
BAS
2 - 1
STA
39%
25%
36%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Farnborough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2009 |
FAR
2 - 1
OXF
63%
20%
16%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
FAR
1 - 3
NEW
46%
25%
29%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
FAR
0 - 2
NUN
49%
24%
26%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -2 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
SWI
0 - 7
FAR
14%
21%
65%
|
55 | 32 | 23 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
FAR
3 - 0
WEA
58%
21%
21%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |