Bashley vs Farnborough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.3%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
51.9%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bashley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
BAN
1 - 0
BAS
38%
25%
36%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
YAT
1 - 0
BAS
25%
25%
51%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2009 |
RUG
2 - 3
BAS
40%
26%
35%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
BAS
3 - 2
OXF
33%
26%
41%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | +2 |
| 24 Mar. 2009 |
EVE
2 - 2
BAS
46%
27%
27%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Farnborough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
FAR
2 - 1
EVE
65%
21%
14%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2009 |
COR
3 - 1
FAR
35%
26%
39%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
FAR
1 - 0
HIT
71%
17%
11%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2009 |
FAR
1 - 0
TIV
72%
18%
11%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
MAN
0 - 2
FAR
11%
20%
69%
|
53 | 28 | 25 | 0 |