Bashley vs Fareham Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.6%
Win probability
3.29
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.8%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.8%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
13%
3-0
9%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
5%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.1%
10.7%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10.7%
6.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bashley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2022 |
BRO
0 - 1
BAS
41%
21%
39%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
BAS
1 - 1
STO
39%
21%
40%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2022 |
HAM
1 - 1
BAS
61%
18%
20%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
BAS
2 - 0
UNI
87%
9%
4%
|
29 | 16 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2022 |
BAS
1 - 0
COW
88%
8%
4%
|
29 | 16 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Fareham Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
BRO
2 - 1
FAR
78%
13%
9%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
FAR
1 - 2
ALR
76%
14%
10%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2022 |
FAR
0 - 1
HAM
54%
20%
27%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
SHA
4 - 0
FAR
86%
9%
5%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
MON
3 - 3
FAR
69%
17%
14%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |