Bashley vs Croydon Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.4%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
32.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bashley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2005 |
BAS
3 - 4
MET
32%
25%
43%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2005 |
BAS
5 - 2
WAL
64%
20%
16%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2005 |
CRA
2 - 2
BAS
66%
19%
15%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2005 |
BAS
3 - 1
BAN
56%
23%
21%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2005 |
BAS
0 - 5
FLE
59%
22%
19%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Croydon Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2005 |
CRO
1 - 1
LEA
32%
25%
43%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2005 |
CRO
3 - 1
KIN
60%
21%
19%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2005 |
HOR
1 - 1
CRO
70%
18%
13%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2005 |
CRO
2 - 0
ATK
59%
21%
20%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2005 |
LEA
2 - 1
CRO
63%
21%
16%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | -1 |