Bashley vs Croydon Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
23.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bashley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2005 |
HAS
1 - 1
BAS
49%
23%
27%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2005 |
BAS
0 - 3
BRO
39%
25%
36%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | -2 |
| 28 Mar. 2005 |
NEW
1 - 1
BAS
17%
21%
62%
|
35 | 19 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2005 |
BAS
0 - 2
MOL
68%
18%
13%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2005 |
DUL
1 - 1
BAS
43%
24%
33%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Croydon Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2005 |
CRO
1 - 1
BAN
72%
17%
11%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2005 |
CRO
0 - 1
DUL
54%
22%
24%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2005 |
CRO
3 - 1
CRO
20%
23%
56%
|
35 | 19 | 16 | -2 |
| 25 Mar. 2005 |
CRO
1 - 1
HAS
53%
22%
24%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2005 |
COR
0 - 0
CRO
41%
24%
34%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | -1 |