Bashley vs Cray Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
7%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.7%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
40.8%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bashley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2006 |
FLE
1 - 1
BAS
41%
25%
34%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2006 |
BAS
0 - 3
DUL
57%
22%
21%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2006 |
BAN
1 - 2
BAS
36%
25%
40%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2006 |
BAS
0 - 0
TON
38%
25%
37%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2006 |
HAS
0 - 2
BAS
53%
23%
24%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Cray Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2006 |
CRA
2 - 1
HOR
47%
23%
30%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2006 |
KIN
2 - 2
CRA
46%
24%
30%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2006 |
CRA
3 - 1
WHY
73%
16%
11%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2006 |
CRA
3 - 1
DOV
45%
24%
31%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2006 |
MOL
0 - 2
CRA
34%
24%
42%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | +1 |