Bashley vs Cirencester Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.1%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
21.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bashley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2010 |
OXF
1 - 1
BAS
26%
25%
50%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
HAL
0 - 2
BAS
46%
24%
30%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
BAS
1 - 1
CAM
32%
27%
41%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
HEM
0 - 2
BAS
31%
25%
45%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
BAS
1 - 0
EVE
65%
21%
14%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Cirencester Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
CIR
1 - 0
TIV
80%
13%
7%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2010 |
GRA
0 - 1
CIR
55%
23%
22%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
CIR
2 - 2
GRA
65%
19%
16%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2010 |
CIR
3 - 2
CHE
30%
25%
45%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | +3 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
HED
3 - 1
CIR
67%
19%
14%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | -1 |