Bashley vs Cinderford Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
7.6%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.3%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
1.9%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.1%
18%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
18%
74.4%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
16.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.8%
0-2
16.7%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
22.9%
0-3
11.4%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
14.5%
0-4
5.8%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7.1%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bashley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
MAN
5 - 0
BAS
88%
9%
3%
|
9 | 27 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
BAS
0 - 8
NOR
5%
13%
82%
|
10 | 38 | 28 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
BUR
5 - 1
BAS
84%
11%
6%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
MAN
6 - 1
BAS
72%
16%
12%
|
10 | 30 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2015 |
MAR
5 - 0
BAS
86%
10%
4%
|
11 | 27 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Cinderford Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
CIN
1 - 0
SLI
79%
13%
8%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
CIN
1 - 0
LAR
57%
20%
23%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
MAN
0 - 2
CIN
39%
25%
36%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2015 |
SWI
0 - 2
CIN
54%
22%
23%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | +2 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
CIN
2 - 1
NOR
28%
22%
50%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | +1 |